Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FORTH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 1.902692 1.989776 2.081979 2.187477 2.305626 2.434821 2.588132
2025-11-02 1.784877 1.893663 2.012758 2.154301 2.320021 2.510721 2.751228
2025-11-09 1.712113 1.835155 1.973147 2.141874 2.346375 2.591709 2.917862
2025-11-16 1.656242 1.789562 1.941973 2.132693 2.370674 2.666771 3.079985
2025-11-23 1.608313 1.749102 1.912591 2.121175 2.388037 2.731004 3.231772
2025-11-30 1.578629 1.727732 1.903567 2.132307 2.432590 2.832047 3.445488
2025-12-07 1.522355 1.671539 1.848870 2.081907 2.392049 2.812463 3.476849
2025-12-14 1.489459 1.642146 1.825487 2.069598 2.400366 2.860197 3.616291
2025-12-21 1.455639 1.610152 1.797203 2.048933 2.395143 2.886852 3.724088
2025-12-28 1.443748 1.604564 1.801554 2.070840 2.449508 3.005216 4.005713
2026-01-04 1.437442 1.605428 1.813758 2.103328 2.520486 3.155665 4.378042
2026-01-11 1.414941 1.584944 1.797345 2.095585 2.531727 3.211637 4.580206
2026-01-18 1.396214 1.569435 1.787781 2.098151 2.560468 3.302870 4.888757
2026-01-25 1.366043 1.538286 1.756399 2.068429 2.537774 3.303660 4.995708
2026-02-01 1.344890 1.518135 1.738880 2.057437 2.543071 3.353547 5.234069
2026-02-08 1.326050 1.500412 1.723932 2.049284 2.551985 3.410469 5.510136
2026-02-15 1.307430 1.482446 1.708019 2.038905 2.556428 3.459272 5.783732
2026-02-22 1.297392 1.475361 1.706478 2.049212 2.594701 3.576565 6.315572
2026-03-01 1.267709 1.441730 1.667771 2.003084 2.537043 3.499068 6.189550
2026-03-08 1.251547 1.425673 1.652809 1.991832 2.537130 3.537819 6.480965
2026-03-15 1.233381 1.406581 1.633181 1.972874 2.523147 3.546433 6.672157
2026-03-22 1.229435 1.406273 1.639442 1.993028 2.576827 3.702674 7.548285
2026-03-29 1.228828 1.410340 1.651806 2.022861 2.649383 3.912500 8.952852